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Table 2 Association between change in cartilage volume, and new or worsening meniscal extrusions, meniscal tears, and cartilage defects over 2.4 years; and change in joint space width over 5 years

From: Change in knee structure and change in tibiofemoral joint space width: a five year longitudinal population–based study

Population

Change in..

Medial joint space width

Lateral joint space width

  

Univariable

Multivariablea

Univariable

Multivariablea

All participants

Tibial + femoral cartilage volume

R24.4 %, p= 0.009

R2 2.2 %, p = 0.064

R24.9 %, p= 0.006

R24.8 %, p= 0.007

(n = 151 medially,

Meniscal extrusion

R24.3 %, p= 0.01

R2 2.4 %, p = 0.053

NA

NA

n = 150 laterally)

Meniscal tears

R2 0.19 %, p = 0.60

R2 0.0 %, p = 0.97

R2 1.4 %, p = 0.15

R2 1.2 %, p = 0.18

 

Cartilage defects (tibia + femur)

R2 1.4 %, p = 0.15

R2 0.7 %, p = 0.29

R2 0.26 %, p = 0.54

R2 0.01 %, p = 0.90

   

Total R2 7.7 %

 

Total R2 6.2 %

Subgroup: cartilage measurement site

Tibia

Tibial cartilage volume

R2 1.7 %, p = 0.11

R2 0.8 %, p = 0.26

R2 3.34 %, p = 0.024

R23.8 %, p= 0.017

(n = 151)

Meniscal extrusion

R24.3 %, p= 0.01

R23.1 %, p= 0.031

NA

NA

 

Meniscal tears

R2 0.19 %, p = 0.60

R2 0.01 %, p = 0.91

R2 1.35 %, p = 0.15

R2 1.3 %, p = 0.16

 

Tibial cartilage defects

R2 0.23 %, p = 0.56

R2 0.02 %, p = 0.85

R2 0.03 %, p = 0.83

R2 0.3 %, p = 0.52

   

Total R2 5.1 %

 

Total R2 5.1 %

Femur

Femoral cartilage volume

R23.8 %, p= 0.016

R2 1.8 %, p = 0.095

R2 1.72 %, p = 0.11

R2 1.5 %, p = 0.13

(n = 150)

Meniscal extrusion

R24.3 %, p= 0.01

R23.2 %, p= 0.024

NA

NA

 

Meniscal tears

R2 0.19 %, p = 0.6

R2 0.04 %, p = 0.80

R2 1.35 %, p = 0.15

R2 1.2 %, p = 0.19

 

Femoral cartilage defects

R23.0 %, p= 0.035

R2 2.2 %, p = 0.063

R2 2.26 %, p = 0.07

R2 2.2 %, p = 0.07

   

Total R2 9.0 %

 

Total R2 4.9 %

Subgroup:

Radiographic OA of OARSI grade ≥1 (n = 85)

Tibial + femoral cartilage volume

R27.8 %, p= 0.01

R2 2.1 %, p = 0.16

R2 3.0 %, p = 0.11

R2 3.3 %, p = 0.096

Meniscal extrusion

R211.2 %, p= 0.002

R26.2 %, p= 0.017

NA

NA

Meniscal tears

R2 0.02 %, p = 0.91

R2 0.4 %, p = 0.53

R2 1.38 %, p = 0.28

R2 1.9 %, p = 0.21

Tibial + femoral cartilage defects

R2 4.5 %, p = 0.051

R2 2.3 %, p = 0.14

R2 0.49 %, p = 0.53

R2 1.1 %, p = 0.33

   

Total R2 16.7 %

 

Total R2 5.6 %

  1. Results obtained using linear regression
  2. aAdjusted for change in cartilage volume, change in meniscal extrusion, change in meniscal tears or change in cartilage defects where applicable
  3. NA indicates not applicable (incidence of meniscal extrusion very low)
  4. Bold text indicates statistically significant result (p ≤ 0.05)
  5. R2 for univariable models is the proportion of variance explained provided (R2) for the linear regression
  6. R2 for multivariable models is the proportion of variance explained for individual components of the multivariable model (semipartial R2)
  7. Total R2 is the proportion of variance explained for the entire multivariable model