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Table 4 Posterior probability of effect sizes larger than specific odds ratio

From: Bisphosphonates and atrial fibrillation: Bayesian meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials and observational studies

Odds ratio

*Liberal prior: mu~dnorm(0.2044, 430)

*Conservative prior:

mu ~dnorm(0.2044, 10)

>1.1

.990

.753

>1.2

.655

.484

>1.3

.084

.241

>1.4

.001

.098

>1.5

.000

.037

  1. *Prior distribution was obtained from the posterior distribution of the Bayesian meta-analysis on the observational studies. The inverse of the estimated variance was used as the prior in the liberal prior condition while the inverse of ten times of the estimated variance was used as the prior in the conservative condition.