Table 1 Comparison of the distribution of key variables in the CCHS in 2016 and in SYL in 2016, 2020 and 2040: base-case scenario
From: Reducing the burden of low back pain: results from a new microsimulation model
Variable | SYL 2016 | SYL 2020 | SYL 2040 | CCHS 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Age 20–29 (%) | 11.5 | 11.1 | 10.33 | 16.6 |
Age 30–39 (%) | 21.1 | 17.9 | 15.73 | 18.0 |
Age 40–49 (%) | 16.6 | 18.76 | 15.56 | 17.6 |
Age 50–59 (%) | 21.4 | 19.47 | 18.03 | 19.0 |
Age 60–69 (%) | 15.6 | 17.91 | 17.56 | 15.8 |
Age 70–79 (%) | 9.3 | 10.23 | 13.93 | 8.8 |
Age 80 + (%) | 4.5 | 4.63 | 8.85 | 4.2 |
Male sex (%) | 48.5 | 48.4 | 47.5 | 49.1 |
BMI (mean) | 25.9 | 25.9 | 26.0 | 26.4 |
Back problems (%) | 20.4 | 20.7 | 20.9 | 21.9 |
Pain level 0 (%) | 56.7 | 57.7 | 58.0 | 55.5 |
Pain level 1 (%) | 9.8 | 10.3 | 9.8 | 9.7 |
Pain level 2 (%) | 12.2 | 11.6 | 12.1 | 13.5 |
Pain level 3 (%) | 12.5 | 11.4 | 11.6 | 13.9 |
Pain level 4 (%) | 8.9 | 9.0 | 8.6 | 7.4 |