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Table 1 Results of the Joinpoint regression models for trend analysis of age-standardized prevalence and DALYs rates of knee osteoarthritis in China and the USA from 1990 to 2019

From: Disease burden of osteoarthritis of the knee and hip due to a high body mass index in China and the USA: 1990–2019 findings from the global burden of disease study 2019

 

Prevalence

DALYs

DALYs due to a high BMI

 

Time interval

APC (95% CI)

Time interval

APC (95% CI)

Time interval

Time interval

China males

Trend 1

1990-2000

− 0.7 (− 0.9, − 0.4)*

1990-2000

− 0.7 (− 0.9, − 0.4)*

1990-2000

2.1 (1.8, 2.4)*

Trend 2

2000-2005

2.5 (1.6, 3.5)*

2000-2005

2.5 (1.6, 3.5)*

2000-2005

6.0 (4.7, 7.2)*

Trend 3

2005-2014

0.1 (−0.2, 0.4)

2005-2014

0.1 (−0.2, 0.5)

2005-2013

3.7 (3.2, 4.2)*

Trend 4

2014-2019

−0.7 (− 1.4, − 0.0)*

2014-2019

−0.7 (− 1.4, − 0.1)*

2013-2019

2.0 (1.3, 2.6)*

AAPC

1990-2019

0.1 (−0.1, 0.3)

1990-2019

0.1 (−0.1, 0.3)

1990-2019

3.2 (2.9, 3.5)*

China females

Trend 1

1990-2000

−0.4 (− 0.5, − 0.3)*

1990-2000

−0.4 (− 0.4, − 0.3)*

1990-1997

2.1 (1.8, 2.3)*

Trend 2

2000-2005

1.9 (1.6, 2.2)*

2000-2005

1.9 (1.6, 2.2)*

1997-2009

4.1 (4.0, 4.2)*

Trend 3

2005-2014

0.5 (0.4, 0.6)*

2005-2014

0.6 (0.5, 0.7)*

2009-2014

2.6 (2.0, 3.2)*

Trend 4

2014-2019

−0.5 (−0.7, −0.3)*

2014-2019

−0.6 (− 0.8, − 0.4)*

2014-2019

1.7 (1.3, 2.1)*

AAPC

1990-2019

0.3 (0.2, 0.3)*

1990-2019

0.3 (0.2, 0.3)*

1990-2019

2.9 (2.8, 3.1)*

USA males

Trend 1

1990-1994

− 1.6 (− 2.7, −0.6)*

1990-1994

−1.5 (− 2.5, − 0.5)*

1990-2001

1.5 (1.3, 1.8)*

Trend 2

1994-2001

0.3 (−0.3, 0.9)

1994-2001

0.3 (−0.3, 0.8)

2001-2005

−2.6 (−4.3, − 0.8)*

Trend 3

2001-2004

−4.9 (−8.1, −1.7)*

2001-2004

− 4.9 (− 8.0, − 1.8)*

2005-2009

3.0 (1.2, 4.8)*

Trend 4

2004-2019

0.9 (0.8, 1.1)*

2004-2019

0.9 (0.8, 1.0)*

2009-2019

1.0 (0.7, 1.2)*

AAPC

1990-2019

−0.2 (−0.6, 0.2)

1990-2019

−0.2 (− 0.6, 0.2)

1990-2019

1.0 (0.6, 1.3)*

USA females

Trend 1

1990-2000

0.4 (0.3, 0.6)*

1990-2000

0.5 (0.3, 0.6)*

1990-2000

1.5 (1.3, 1.6)*

Trend 2

2000-2005

−3.3 (−4.0, −2.7)*

2000-2005

−3.4 (− 4.0, − 2.8)*

2000-2005

−2.7 (−3.2, − 2.1)*

Trend 3

2005-2009

1.7 (0.6, 2.8)*

2005-2009

1.7 (0.6, 2.7)*

2005-2009

2.3 (1.4, 3.1)*

Trend 4

2009-2019

0.6 (0.5, 0.8)*

2009-2019

0.6 (0.4, 0.7)*

2009-2019

0.8 (0.7, 0.9)*

AAPC

1990-2019

0.0 (−0.2, 0.2)

1990-2019

−0.0 (− 0.2, 0.2)

1990-2019

0.6 (0.5, 0.8)*

  1. * Significantly different from 0 (P < 0.05)
  2. Abbreviations
  3. DALYs disability-adjusted life years
  4. BMI body mass index
  5. APC annual percent change
  6. AAPC average annual percent change
  7. CI confidential interval