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Table 3 Area under the ROC curve (and 95% confidence interval) measuring the accuracy of various ÖMPSQ versions and items: good = AUC 0.8-0.89 / fair = AUC 0.7-0.79 / poor = AUC 0.6-0.69 / fail = AUC 0.5-0.59

From: Can the French version of the short Örebro Musculoskeletal Pain Screening Questionnaire or its subsets predict the evolution of patients with acute, (sub) acute and chronic pain?

ÖMPSQ

Items

Full version

total score

Short version

total score

Psychosocial subscore

(items #5-10)

Item #7

Item #8

Item #7+#8

Outcome

Variables

A. Secondary care cohort (n=73)

ÖMPSQ

Pain index

0.732

(0.605 - 0.859)

0.730

(0.600 - 0.860)

0.690

(0.561 - 0.820)

0.721

(0.597 - 0.845)

0.713

(0.581 - 0.846)

0.754

(0.636 - 0.872)

ÖMPSQ

Function index

0.784

(0.678 - 0.891)

0.808

(0.707 - 0.909)

0.764

(0.652 - 0.876)

0.755

(0.642 - 0.867)

0.628

(0.501 - 0.754)

0.786

(0.679 - 0.893)

ÖMPSQ

Work Absence

0.812

(0.658 - 0.967)

0.745

(0.532 - 0.957)

0.751

(0.556 - 0.946)

0.681

(0.483 - 0.879)

0.616

(0.387 - 0.845)

0.695

(0.486 - 0.905)

B. Primary care cohort, spinal pain only (n=91)

Presence/absence of pain

-

0.665

(0.663-0.668)

0.633

(0.631-0.636)

0.607

(0.605-0.610)

0.575

(0.573-0.577)

0.615

(0.613-0.617)

Recovery score

-

0.822

(0.820-0.824)

0.718

(0.715-0.721)

0.676

(0.673-0/679)

0.647

(0.644-0.649)

0.735

(0.732-0.737)

EQ 5D pain/discomfort

-

0.654

(0.651-0.656)

0.628

(0.626-0.631)

0.558

(0.556-0.559)

0.662

(0.660-0.664)

0.620

(0.618-0.623)

EQ 5D mobility

-

0.784

(0.781-0.788)

0.804

(0.801-0.806)

0.575

(0.573-0.577)

0.860

(0.858-0.836)

0.770

(0.766-0.775)

EQ 5D usual activities

-

0.745

(0.741-0.749)

0.809

(0.807-0.811)

0.614

(0.611-0.617)

0.616

(0.612-0.620)

0.689

(0.685-0.693)

EQ 5D anxiety/depression

-

0.686

(0.683-0.688)

0.651

(0.649-0.654)

0.560

(0.559-0.562)

0.577

(0.574-0.579)

0.572

(0.570-0.575)

C. Primary care cohort, (sub) acute pain at t0 (n=112)

Presence/absence of pain

-

0.674

(0.671-0.676)

0.639

(0.637-0.641)

0.590

(0.588-0.592)

0.563

(0.561-0.568)

0.589

(0.587-0.591)

Recovery score

-

0.666

(0.663-0.669)

0.656

(0.653-0.659)

0.625

(0.622-0.628)

0.568

(0.566-0.571)

0.604

(0.602-0.607)

EQ 5D pain/discomfort

-

0.583

(0.581-0.586)

0.605

(0.602-0.607)

0.561

(0.559-0.563)

0.539

(0.537-0.541)

0.555

(0.553-0.557)

EQ 5D mobility

-

0.750

(0.747-0.753)

0.762

(0.759-0.764)

0.642

(0.639-0.645)

0.685

(0.682-0.688)

0.684

(0.680-0.688)

EQ 5D usual activities

-

0.782

(0.777-0.786)

0.837

(0.834-0.840)

0.657

(0.652-0.660)

0.766

(0.762-0.771)

0.721

(0.717-0.726)

EQ 5D anxiety/depression

-

0.693

(0.690-0.695)

0.683

(0.681-0.686)

0.587

(0.584-0.589)

0.587

(0.584-0.589)

0.611

(0.609-0.614)

D. Primary care cohort, chronic pain at t0 (n=292)

Presence/absence of pain

-

0.732

(0.730-0.733)

0.700

(0.698-0.701)

0.646

(0.644-0.648)

0.660

(0/659-0.662)

0.695

(0.694-0.697)

Recovery score

-

0.774

(0.773-0.776)

0.731

(0.730-0.732)

0.629

(0.628-0.631)

0.638

(0.637-0.639)

0.683

(0.681-0.684)

EQ 5D pain/discomfort

-

0.719

(0.718-0/720)

0.723

(0.721-0.724)

0.638

(0.636-0.639)

0.651

(0.650-0.652)

0.689

(0.688-0.690)

EQ 5D mobility

-

0.781

(0.779-0.782)

0.777

(0.775-0.778)

0.644

(0.643-0.646)

0.818

(0.817-0.819)

0.828

(0.827-0.829)

EQ 5D usual activities

-

0.718

(0.717-0.720)

0.767

(0.765-0.768)

0.580

(0.578-0.582)

0.699

(0.697-0.701)

0.710

(0.708-0.712)

EQ 5D anxiety/depression

-

0.738

(0.737-0.739)

0.744

(0.743-0.745)

0.612

(0.610-0.613)

0.616

(0.614-0.617)

0.656

(0.655-0.658)

E. Primary care cohort, (sub) acute and chronic pain at t0, limb pain only (n=74)

Presence/absence of pain

-

0.739

(0.736-0.741)

0.611

(0.608-0.614)

0.632

(0.629-0.635)

0.691

(0.688-0.693)

0.667

(0.664-0.669)

Recovery score

-

0.769

(0.766-0.772)

0.705

(0.702-0.708)

0.718

(0.715-0.721)

0.575

(0.572-0.579)

0.670

(0.667-0.673)

EQ 5D pain/discomfort

-

0.749

(0.742-0.747)

0.711

(0.708-0.713)

0.616

(0.614-0.619)

0.649

(0.647-0.652)

0.640

(0.638-0.643)

EQ 5D mobility

-

0.773

(0.770-0.776)

0.665

(0.662-0.669)

0.616

(0.613-0.619)

0.775

(0.772-0.778)

0.728

(°.725-0.731)

EQ 5D usual activities

-

0.691

(0.685-0.697)

0.723

(0.716-0.730)

0.489

(not reliable)

0.615

(not reliable)

0.791

(0.789-0.793)

EQ 5D anxiety/depression

-

0.686

(0.682-0.690)

0.674

(0.671-0.678)

0.604

(0.601-0.607)

0.582

(0.579-0.586)

0.598

(0.595-0.601)

F. Primary care cohort, (sub) acute and chronic pain at t0, “non-musculoskeletal” pain only (n=24)

Presence/absence of pain

-

0.602

(0.599-0.607)

0.588

(0.584-0.593)

0.840

(0.837-0.843)

0.577

(0.573-0.580)

0.849

(0.847-0.852)

Recovery score

-

0.671

(0.666-0.676)

0.671

(0.665-0.676)

0.734

(0.730-0.739)

0.598

(0/594-0.602)

0.726

(0.721-0.731)

EQ 5D pain/discomfort

-

0.628

(0.624-0.632)

0.608

(0.604-0.612)

0.621

(0.618-0.624)

0.597

(0.594-0.610)

0.624

(0.620-0.629)

EQ 5D mobility

-

0.671

(0.665-0.676)

0.724

(0.719-0.729)

0.661

(0.656-0.666)

0.618

(0.613-0.622)

0.640

(0.635-0.645)

EQ 5D usual activities

-

0.814

(0.810-0.817)

0.783

(0.779-0.787)

0.612

(0.608-0.616)

0.915

(0.912-0.917)

0.686

(0.681-0.692)

EQ 5D anxiety/depression

-

0.923

(0.921-0.927)

0.915

(0.912-0.918)

0.704

(0.699-0.709)

0.828

(0.823-0.833)

0.808

(0.804-0.813)

G. Primary care cohort, all patients (n=542)

Presence/absence of pain

-

0.742

(0.741-0.743)

0.692

(0.691-0.693)

0.687

(0.686-0.688)

0.642

(0.640-0.643)

0.700

(0.699-0.702)

Recovery score

-

0.773

(0.772-0.774)

0.719

(0.718-0.721)

0.662

(0.661-0.663)

0.637

(0.636-0.638)

0.692

(0.691-0.693)

EQ 5D pain/discomfort

-

0.726

(0.725-0.727)

0.709

(0.708-0.710)

0.680

(0.679-0.681)

0.638

(0.637-0/639)

0.701

(0.700-0.702)

EQ 5D mobility

-

0.782

(0.781-0.783)

0.780

(0.779-0.782)

0.668

(0.667-0.669)

0.800

(0.799-0.802)

0.807

(0.806-0.808)

EQ 5D usual activities

-

0.752

(0.751-0.754)

0.790

(0.788-0.791)

0.624

(0.623-0.627)

0.718

(0.716-0.719)

0.738

(0.737-0.740)

EQ 5D anxiety/depression

-

0.736

(0.735-0.737)

0.733

(0.731-0.734)

0.622

(0.621-0.623)

0.618

(0.617-0.619)

0.661

(0.660-0.662)

  1. ÖMPSQ Örebro Musculoskeletal Pain Screening Questionnaire, ROC Receiver Operating Characteristic, AUC Area under the curve.
  2. Not reliable: when results of bootstrapping for CI are very different from initial AUC calculation (difference leading to change of result category) & visual control of the ROC curve confirms a bad fit