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Table 6 Estimated change to productivity costs associated with introducing stratified care in Gloucestershire

From: Implementing the Keele stratified care model for patients with low back pain: an observational impact study

Risk category IMPaCT Back study estimatesa Gloucestershire estimates
% of LBP patients in work change in mean no days off work for employed patients Change in mean cost of LBP-related work absenceb (£) Number of LBP patients in workc mean change in no of days of LBP-related work absence Change in cost of LBP-related work absence (£ million)
Low 57 0.3 94 873 288 0.1
Medium 48 −6.1 −909 947 −5785 −0.9
High 48 −6.1 −805 822 −4975 −0.7
Total 51 −4.0 −545 2642 −10,472 −1.4
  1. aSource: [13, Table 4]
  2. bCosts over 6 months up-rated to 2014 prices using the retail price index [32]
  3. cApplying the IMPaCT Back study’s estimate of the percentage of LBP patients in work and the annual estimated annual referrals for LBP physiotherapy in Gloucestershire (Table 5)