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Table 3 Probability of Inflammatory Arthritis, of diagnosis after symptom onset by time point, of correct diagnosis by physician group

From: Improving patient flow of people with rheumatoid arthritis has the potential to simultaneously improve health outcomes and reduce direct costs

 

P

Reference

Probability of Inflammatory Arthritis

 Probability of a patient presenting with IA (RA or other IA)

0.6438

[10]

Diagnostic Probabilities

 Probability of RA diagnosis within 3 months

0.28

[15]

 Probability of RA diagnosis within 4 to 6 months

0.16

[15].

 Probability of RA diagnosis within 7 to 12 months

0.14

[15].

 Probability of RA diagnosis within 13 to 24 months

0.17

[15]

Probabilities of Diagnostic Skill

 Probability of correct diagnosis by GP

0.15

[15]

 Probability of correct diagnosis by specialist

0.73

[15]

 Probability of correct diagnosis by specialist

0.76

[10]