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Table 5 Baseline predictors for chronic low back pain (LBP) in Dphacto, N = 842

From: Low back pain patterns over one year among 842 workers in the DPhacto study and predictors for chronicity based on repetitive measurements

  

Model 1

Model 2

Model 3

Demographic factors

n

OR (95 % CI)

P-value

OR (95 % CI)

P-value

OR (95 % CI)

P-value

Age (years)

842

1.03 (1.00–1.05)

0.01

1.03 (1.01–1.05)

0.01

1.01 (0.99–1.04)

0.29

Gender

842

      

 Male

430

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 Female

412

1.14 (0.81–1.61)

0.46

1.08 (0.76–1.54)

0.65

1.17 (0.75–1.83)

0.49

Sector

842

      

 Manufacturing

602

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 Cleaning

164

1.36 (0.89–2.08)

0.25

1.25 (0.79–1.98)

0.46

1.05 (0.63–1.77)

0.83

 Transport

76

1.06 (0.57–1.96)

0.75

1.04 (0.55–1.98)

0.83

0.97 (0.47–2.01)

0.89

Position

842

      

 Blue-collar

693

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 White-collar

149

0.30 (0.16–0.57)

<.01

0.30 (0.16–0.56)

<.01

0.46 (0.21–0.99)

<0.05

Seniority

816

      

 0–5 years

178

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 5–10 years

192

0.91 (0.53–1.58)

0.41

0.88 (0.51–1.52)

0.60

0.92 (0.50–1.68)

0.54

 10–20 years

220

0.96 (0.57–1.62)

0.57

0.85 (0.50–1.45)

0.45

0.90 (0.49–1.64)

0.45

  > 20 years

226

1.38 (0.84–2.27)

0.06

1.13 (0.66–1.93)

0.30

1.34 (0.72–2.48)

0.14

Workability

842

      

 9–10

469

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 8

211

2.11 (1.37–3.23)

0.62

2.11 (1.38–3.25)

0.59

1.70 (1.06–2.71)

0.68

 0–7

163

3.65 (2.37–5.60)

<.01

3.61 (2.34–5.56)

<.01

2.41 (1.49–3.89)

<0.01

Physical strain at work

813

      

 1–3

224

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 4–7

415

2.05 (1.26–3.34)

0.25

2.06 (1.27–3.37)

0.22

1.17 (0.64–2.12)

0.93

 8–10

174

2.74 (1.59–4.72)

<.01

2.69 (1.55–4.67)

<.01

1.41 (0.72–2.77)

0.29

BMI (kg/m2)

842

      

  < 25

306

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 25–30

320

0.91 (0.61–1.36)

0.80

0.90 (0.60–1.34)

0.80

0.73 (0.46–1.15)

0.96

  > 30

216

0.90 (0.58–1.41)

0.79

0.88 (0.56–1.38)

0.72

0.54 (0.32–0.90)

<0.05

Back endurance

842

      

 = > 90 sec

326

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 46–89 sec

89

1.82 (0.96–3.47)

0.95

1.80 (0.94–3.43)

0.99

1.56 (0.78–3.12)

0.91

 11–45 sec

124

2.10 (1.20–3.68)

0.50

2.05 (1.17–3.61)

0.48

1.76 (0.93–3.35)

0.48

  < 10 sec

303

3.03 (1.97–4.68)

<.01

2.81 (1.80–4.39)

<.01

1.92 (1.16–3.19)

0.14

LBP intensity baseline

837

      

 0

257

REF

 

REF

 

REF

 

 1–4

295

3.12 (1.76–5.84)

0.14

3.26 (1.74–6.10)

0.19

3.28 (1.71–6.27)

0.57

 5–7

175

9.06 (4.86–16.88)

<.01

9.24 (4.95–17.27)

<.01

7.85 (4.11–14.99)

<.01

 8–10

110

8.44 (4.32–16.50)

<.01

8.40 (4.29–16.46)

<.01

6.52 (3.19–13.33)

<.01

  1. The four categories of low back pain (LBP) defined as: (1) ‘Low Pain Level and low Pain Variation’, (2) ‘Low Pain Level and high Pain Variation’, (3) ‘High Pain Level and high Pain Variation’ and (4) ‘High Pain Level and low Pain Variation’ (chronic LBP). Analyses are made with logistic regression based on all blue- and white-collar workers included. OR = Odds ratio, CI = Confidence limits, REF = Reference group, BMI = Body Mass Index, LBP = Low back pain. Model 1: Crude analysis, Model 2: Adjusted for age and gender, Model 3: Adjusted for age, gender, BMI, back endurance, baseline LBP intensity, sector, seniority, workability and physical strain in work. Significance level is set at p>0.05