Outcomes
|
n (%)
|
Age-adjusted models
|
Fully-adjusted models
|
---|
Statistics (95% CI)a
|
P-value
|
Statistics (95% CI)a
|
P-value
|
---|
Falls
b
|
1,068 (31.89)
|
1.03 (1.03-1.04)
|
<0.001
|
1.02 (1.02-1.03)
|
<0.001
|
Women < 65 years
|
395 (31.98)
|
1.03 (1.02-1.04)
|
<0.001
|
1.02 (1.01-1.03)
|
0.001
|
Women ≥ 65 years
|
673 (31.84)
|
1.03 (1.02-1.04)
|
<0.001
|
1.03 (1.02-1.04)
|
<0.001
|
Fractures
c
|
All fractures
d
|
238 (6.36)
|
1.02 (1.01-1.03)
|
<0.001
|
1.02 (1.01-1.03)
|
<0.001
|
Women < 65 years
|
71 (5.35)
|
1.02 (1.002-1.04)
|
0.032
|
1.02 (1.00-1.04)
|
0.019
|
Women ≥ 65 years
|
167 (6.92)
|
1.02 (1.01-1.03)
|
0.002
|
1.02 (1.01-1.03)
|
0.002
|
Hip fracture
|
18 (0.51)g
|
1.04 (1.00-1.07)
|
0.041
|
1.04 (1.00-1.07)
|
0.051
|
Women < 65 years
|
4 (0.30)
|
—k
|
—k
|
—k
|
—k
|
Women ≥ 65 years
|
14 (0.58)
|
1.03 (0.99-1.07)
|
0.201
|
1.02 (0.99-1.07)
|
0.230
|
Spine fracture
|
28 (0.79)h
|
1.04 (1.01-1.07)
|
0.004
|
1.03 (1.00-1.06)
|
0.024
|
Women < 65 years
|
6 (0.45)
|
—k
|
—k
|
—k
|
—k
|
Women ≥ 65 years
|
22 (0.91)
|
1.04 (1.01-1.07)
|
0.009
|
1.03 (1.00-1.06)
|
0.083
|
Other fractures
|
208 (5.56)i
|
1.02 (1.01-1.03)
|
<0.001
|
1.02 (1.01-1.03)
|
<0.001
|
Women < 65 years
|
65 (4.90)
|
1.02 (1.00-1.04)
|
0.021
|
1.02 (1.00-1.05)
|
0.027
|
Women ≥ 65 years
|
143 (5.92)
|
1.02 (1.00-1.03)
|
0.008
|
1.02 (1.00-1.03)
|
0.015
|
Death
e
|
107 (2.69)
|
1.04 (1.03-1.06)
|
<0.001
|
1.05 (1.03-1.06)
|
<0.001
|
Women < 65 years
|
12 (0.87)
|
1.04 (0.99-1.08)
|
0.093
|
1.05 (1.01-1.10)
|
0.028
|
Women ≥ 65 years
|
95 (3.65)
|
1.05 (1.03-1.06)
|
<0.001
|
1.05 (1.03-1.06)
|
<0.001
|
Overnight hospitalizations
f
|
347 (8.75)j
|
1.03 (1.02-1.04)
|
<0.001
|
1.02 (1.02-1.03)
|
<0.001
|
Women < 65 years
|
75 (5.43)j
|
1.07 (1.06-1.08)
|
<0.001
|
1.05 (1.04-1.06)
|
<0.001
|
Women ≥ 65 years
|
272 (10.52)j
|
1.02 (1.01-1.03)
|
<0.001
|
1.02 (1.01-1.02)
|
<0.001
|
-
aStatistics included odds ratio (OR) for falls and death, hazard ratio (HR) for fractures, and incidence rate ratio (IRR) for overnight hospitalization; CI: confidence interval; All statistics measured a change of 0.01 on the frailty index.
-
bAreas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) are 0.61 for age-adjusted model and 0.69 for fully-adjusted model respectively; Fully-adjusted models used binary logistic regression, adjusted for age, BMI, smoking, drinking, education, and baseline falls.
-
cCox hazards regression; Fully-adjusted models were adjusted for age, BMI, smoking, drinking, education, baseline fracture and family history of fractures.
-
dIncluded hip, spine, pelvis, ribs, clavicle, wrist, upper arm, ankle, upper leg and lower leg fractures.
-
eAUC are 0.79 and 0.80 for age-adjusted model and fully-adjusted model respectively; Fully-adjusted models used binary logistic regression, adjusted for age, BMI, smoking, drinking, and education.
-
fPoisson regression; Fully-adjusted models were adjusted for age, BMI, smoking, drinking, education, and baseline overnight hospitalization.
-
gAnalysis excluded women with nonhip fractures.
-
hAnalysis excluded women with nonspine fractures.
-
iAnalysis excluded women with hip and spine fractures.
-
jFor participants spent at least one night in hospital during the third year of follow-up.
-
kAnalyses could not be conducted because of the limited sample size.