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Table 2 Baseline variables and logistic regression analyses of univariables

From: Prediction model for unsuccessful return to work after hospital-based intervention in low back pain patients

  

One-year U-RTW1

Variables

Baseline

OR

95% CI

P

Clinical variables

    

Sex: female/all (% female), reference female

166/325 (51)

0.74

0.47-1.66

0.196

Agew: mean (SD, range), reference 18 years

41.7 (10.4, 18-60)

1.00

0.98-1.02

0.743

Body Mass Index (BMI): mean (SD, range), ref. 18 kg/m2

26.7 (5.0, 18-53)

1.01

0.97-1.06

0.597

No with radiculopathy/all, n (%), ref. non-specific

111/325 (34)

1.06

0.65-1.72

0.829

Low back pain classification, n (%) overall p

   

0.011

 Non-specific LBP without radiation below the knee

96 (30)

1

 

 Non-specific LBP with pain below the kneew

118 (36)

2.19

1.21-3.97

 Radiculopathyw

111 (34)

1.87

1.00-3.50

Intensity of back pain2p, mean (SD, range), ref. 0

17.6 (6.3, 0-30)

1.12

1.08-1.17

<0.001

Intensity of leg pain2, mean (SD, range), ref. 0

14.2 (8.3, 0-30)

1.06

1.03-1.09

<0.001

Pain score2p (back + leg pain), mean (SD, range), ref. 3

32.0 (12.2, 3-60)

1.06

1.04-1.08

<0.001

Duration of actual painp: ref. ≤ 3 months (%)

(51)

1.35

0.85-2.13

0.200

Use of pain medication: (%5-7 days/week), ref. less often

(58)

1.75

1.09-2.80

0.021

Disability (Roland Morris)w: median (range), ref. 3

16 (3-23)

1.19

1.03-1.16

0.003

No ‘much bothered by widespread painp the preceding two weeks’/all, n

    

(%), reference: ‘not much bothered’

53/325 (16)

1.43

0.77-2.66

0.254

Forward-flexion (Mod. Schober): mean (SD, range), ref. 0.5 cm

5.3 (1.6, 0.5-10)

0.96

0.83-1.11

0.574

Side-flexionp: mean (SD, range), reference 4 cm

13.7 (3.8, 4-26.5)

0.89

0.83-0.95

<0.001

Tender pointsp: median (range), reference 0

5 (0-18)

1.07

1.01-1.13

0.017

Disc Degenerat. Score L1-4: 0-12, median (range), ref. 0

1 (0-8)

0.95

0.80-1.12

0.521

Disc herniationp L4-5 without radiculopathy, ref. none

12/325 (4)

0.863

0.24-3.04

0.818

Disc herniationp L5-S1 without radiculopathy, ref. none

14/325 (4)

1.553

0.52-4.61

0.427

Psychosocial and life style variables

    

Fear avoidancew: (0-30), dichotomised, reference <28

25 (3-30)

1.62

1.27-2.06

<0.001

Waddell’s signsw: n/all (% with one or more), ref. none

78/325 (24)

2.33

1.37-3.97

0.002

Bodily distressw: 0-11, median (range), ref. 0

3 (0-11)

1.19

1.08-1.30

<0.001

Worrying and health anxietyw: 0-7, median (range), ref. 0

2 (0-7)

1.13

1.01-1.27

0.039

Mental distressw: 0-8, median (range), ref. 0

1 (0-8)

1.13

1.03-1.24

0.011

Depressive symptomw: 0-6, median (range), ref. 0

0 (0-6)

1.23

1.08-1.40

0.002

General health perceived as badw/all, reference: splendid, very good, good

    

or not so good

33/322 (10)

3.25

1.53-6.89

0.002

No ‘blaming work for low back painp’/ all, n (%), ref. ‘not blaming work

    

or only partly blaming work’

70/315 (22)

2.40

1.40-4.12

0.002

No ‘not convinced about return to work within 6 monthsw’/all, n (%), ref.

    

‘convinced about return to work’

119/323 (37)

3.69

2.27-6.00

<0.001

No with compensation claimw/all, n (%), ref. no claim

77/316 (24)

2.16

1.27-3.65

0.004

School educationp, n (%) overall p

   

0.353

 < 10 years

99 (31)

1

 

 10 years

120 (37)

0.69

0.40-1.21

 high school or alike

70 (22)

0.60

0.31-1.18

 something else

33 (10)

0.55

0.23-1.28

Vocational education, n (%) overall p

   

0.611

 none

55 (17)

1

 

 unskilled, one or more courses

41 (13)

1.12

0.49-2.59

 skilled education, craftsman, clerk

110 (35)

0.74

0.38-1.45

 short and intermediate education < 4 years

81 (25)

0.67

0.33-1.37

 long education > 4 years

8 (3)

0.38

0.07-2.07

Marital status overall p

   

0.085

married

158 (49)

1

 

 living together, not married

85 (27)

1.26

0.72-2.23

 alone, not previously living together

12 (4)

0.17

0.02-1.38

 alone (previous married or living together)

48 (15)

1.41

0.72-2.73

 something else

16 (5)

3.10

1.05-9.16

No with no children/all, n (%), ref. having children

71/320 (22)

0.91

0.50-1.66

0.755

No with no home ownership/all, n (%), ref. home ownership

108/318 (34)

2.61

1.60-4.27

<0.001

Jobw overall p

   

0.978

 unskilled

104 (33)

1

 

 skilled

73 (23)

1.11

0.60-2.07

 salaried employee

66 (21)

1.00

0.51-1.95

 independent

17 (5)

0.76

0.25-2.34

 something else

56 (18)

1.04

0.52-2.06

Job: No leader/all, n (%), ref. not leader

37/308 (12)

0.49

0.22-1.10

0.085

Personal incomep €, n (%) overall p

   

0.019

 <20,137

33 (11)

1

 

 20,137-33,561

153 (50)

0.57

0.26-1.24

 33,562-50,341

99 (32)

0.34

0.14-0.79

 >50,341

22 (7)

0.18

0.05-0.67

Income of family €, n (%) overall p

   

0.278

 < 33,562

46 (16)

1

 

 33,562-50,341

70 (25)

1.52

0.71-3.26

 50,342-67,123

106 (37)

0.91

0.44-1.87

 > 67,123

63 (22)

0.48

0.21-1.11

Smokingp, n (%) overall p

   

0.065

 never smoking

101 (31)

1

 

 previously smoking

85 (26)

1.41

0.76-2.63

 smoking currently

136 (42)

1.93

1.11-3.36

No drinking alcohol less than once per monthp/all, n (%), ref. drinking

   

regularly, at least once/month

77/322 (24)

1.76

1.03-2.98

0.037

Exercise in leisure timep, dichotomised

   

Vigorous or regular exercise several times a week including heavy

   

gardening or housework, n (%)

108 (34)

1

 

Walking, cycling or light exercise some hours a week or no exercise at

   

all, n (%)

212 (66)

1.27

0.78-2.06

0.340

  1. Outcome: unsuccessful return to work at one year (one-year U-RTW). The analyses adjusted for age and sex, except age and sex.
  2. 1 Not succeeding in working for at least 4 weeks up to the one-year date or registered as unemployed for at least 4 weeks up to the one-year date: 124 patients (38.2%).
  3. 2 Transformed to VAS scale 0-10: mean back pain 5.9, mean leg pain 4.7 and mean pain score 5.3.
  4. 3 Patients not examined by MRI were excluded as the diagnosis requires MRI of the lumbar spine.
  5. w Well-known risk factor. p Potential risk factor.
  6. OR: Odds Ratio. CI: confidence interval.