|  | One-year U-RTW1 | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Baseline | OR | 95% CI | P |
Clinical variables | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Sex: female/all (% female), reference female | 166/325 (51) | 0.74 | 0.47-1.66 | 0.196 |
Agew: mean (SD, range), reference 18 years | 41.7 (10.4, 18-60) | 1.00 | 0.98-1.02 | 0.743 |
Body Mass Index (BMI): mean (SD, range), ref. 18 kg/m2 | 26.7 (5.0, 18-53) | 1.01 | 0.97-1.06 | 0.597 |
No with radiculopathy/all, n (%), ref. non-specific | 111/325 (34) | 1.06 | 0.65-1.72 | 0.829 |
Low back pain classification, n (%) overall p | Â | Â | Â | 0.011 |
 Non-specific LBP without radiation below the knee | 96 (30) | 1 |  | |
 Non-specific LBP with pain below the kneew | 118 (36) | 2.19 | 1.21-3.97 | |
 Radiculopathyw | 111 (34) | 1.87 | 1.00-3.50 | |
Intensity of back pain2p, mean (SD, range), ref. 0 | 17.6 (6.3, 0-30) | 1.12 | 1.08-1.17 | <0.001 |
Intensity of leg pain2, mean (SD, range), ref. 0 | 14.2 (8.3, 0-30) | 1.06 | 1.03-1.09 | <0.001 |
Pain score2p (back + leg pain), mean (SD, range), ref. 3 | 32.0 (12.2, 3-60) | 1.06 | 1.04-1.08 | <0.001 |
Duration of actual painp: ref. ≤ 3 months (%) | (51) | 1.35 | 0.85-2.13 | 0.200 |
Use of pain medication: (%5-7 days/week), ref. less often | (58) | 1.75 | 1.09-2.80 | 0.021 |
Disability (Roland Morris)w: median (range), ref. 3 | 16 (3-23) | 1.19 | 1.03-1.16 | 0.003 |
No ‘much bothered by widespread painp the preceding two weeks’/all, n |  |  |  |  |
(%), reference: ‘not much bothered’ | 53/325 (16) | 1.43 | 0.77-2.66 | 0.254 |
Forward-flexion (Mod. Schober): mean (SD, range), ref. 0.5 cm | 5.3 (1.6, 0.5-10) | 0.96 | 0.83-1.11 | 0.574 |
Side-flexionp: mean (SD, range), reference 4 cm | 13.7 (3.8, 4-26.5) | 0.89 | 0.83-0.95 | <0.001 |
Tender pointsp: median (range), reference 0 | 5 (0-18) | 1.07 | 1.01-1.13 | 0.017 |
Disc Degenerat. Score L1-4: 0-12, median (range), ref. 0 | 1 (0-8) | 0.95 | 0.80-1.12 | 0.521 |
Disc herniationp L4-5 without radiculopathy, ref. none | 12/325 (4) | 0.863 | 0.24-3.04 | 0.818 |
Disc herniationp L5-S1 without radiculopathy, ref. none | 14/325 (4) | 1.553 | 0.52-4.61 | 0.427 |
Psychosocial and life style variables | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Fear avoidancew: (0-30), dichotomised, reference <28 | 25 (3-30) | 1.62 | 1.27-2.06 | <0.001 |
Waddell’s signsw: n/all (% with one or more), ref. none | 78/325 (24) | 2.33 | 1.37-3.97 | 0.002 |
Bodily distressw: 0-11, median (range), ref. 0 | 3 (0-11) | 1.19 | 1.08-1.30 | <0.001 |
Worrying and health anxietyw: 0-7, median (range), ref. 0 | 2 (0-7) | 1.13 | 1.01-1.27 | 0.039 |
Mental distressw: 0-8, median (range), ref. 0 | 1 (0-8) | 1.13 | 1.03-1.24 | 0.011 |
Depressive symptomw: 0-6, median (range), ref. 0 | 0 (0-6) | 1.23 | 1.08-1.40 | 0.002 |
General health perceived as badw/all, reference: splendid, very good, good | Â | Â | Â | Â |
or not so good | 33/322 (10) | 3.25 | 1.53-6.89 | 0.002 |
No ‘blaming work for low back painp’/ all, n (%), ref. ‘not blaming work |  |  |  |  |
or only partly blaming work’ | 70/315 (22) | 2.40 | 1.40-4.12 | 0.002 |
No ‘not convinced about return to work within 6 monthsw’/all, n (%), ref. |  |  |  |  |
‘convinced about return to work’ | 119/323 (37) | 3.69 | 2.27-6.00 | <0.001 |
No with compensation claimw/all, n (%), ref. no claim | 77/316 (24) | 2.16 | 1.27-3.65 | 0.004 |
School educationp, n (%) overall p | Â | Â | Â | 0.353 |
 < 10 years | 99 (31) | 1 |  | |
 10 years | 120 (37) | 0.69 | 0.40-1.21 | |
 high school or alike | 70 (22) | 0.60 | 0.31-1.18 | |
 something else | 33 (10) | 0.55 | 0.23-1.28 | |
Vocational education, n (%) overall p | Â | Â | Â | 0.611 |
 none | 55 (17) | 1 |  | |
 unskilled, one or more courses | 41 (13) | 1.12 | 0.49-2.59 | |
 skilled education, craftsman, clerk | 110 (35) | 0.74 | 0.38-1.45 | |
 short and intermediate education < 4 years | 81 (25) | 0.67 | 0.33-1.37 | |
 long education > 4 years | 8 (3) | 0.38 | 0.07-2.07 | |
Marital status overall p | Â | Â | Â | 0.085 |
married | 158 (49) | 1 | Â | |
 living together, not married | 85 (27) | 1.26 | 0.72-2.23 | |
 alone, not previously living together | 12 (4) | 0.17 | 0.02-1.38 | |
 alone (previous married or living together) | 48 (15) | 1.41 | 0.72-2.73 | |
 something else | 16 (5) | 3.10 | 1.05-9.16 | |
No with no children/all, n (%), ref. having children | 71/320 (22) | 0.91 | 0.50-1.66 | 0.755 |
No with no home ownership/all, n (%), ref. home ownership | 108/318 (34) | 2.61 | 1.60-4.27 | <0.001 |
Jobw overall p | Â | Â | Â | 0.978 |
 unskilled | 104 (33) | 1 |  | |
 skilled | 73 (23) | 1.11 | 0.60-2.07 | |
 salaried employee | 66 (21) | 1.00 | 0.51-1.95 | |
 independent | 17 (5) | 0.76 | 0.25-2.34 | |
 something else | 56 (18) | 1.04 | 0.52-2.06 | |
Job: No leader/all, n (%), ref. not leader | 37/308 (12) | 0.49 | 0.22-1.10 | 0.085 |
Personal incomep €, n (%) overall p |  |  |  | 0.019 |
 <20,137 | 33 (11) | 1 |  | |
 20,137-33,561 | 153 (50) | 0.57 | 0.26-1.24 | |
 33,562-50,341 | 99 (32) | 0.34 | 0.14-0.79 | |
 >50,341 | 22 (7) | 0.18 | 0.05-0.67 | |
Income of family €, n (%) overall p |  |  |  | 0.278 |
 < 33,562 | 46 (16) | 1 |  | |
 33,562-50,341 | 70 (25) | 1.52 | 0.71-3.26 | |
 50,342-67,123 | 106 (37) | 0.91 | 0.44-1.87 | |
 > 67,123 | 63 (22) | 0.48 | 0.21-1.11 | |
Smokingp, n (%) overall p | Â | Â | Â | 0.065 |
 never smoking | 101 (31) | 1 |  | |
 previously smoking | 85 (26) | 1.41 | 0.76-2.63 | |
 smoking currently | 136 (42) | 1.93 | 1.11-3.36 | |
No drinking alcohol less than once per monthp/all, n (%), ref. drinking | Â | Â | Â | |
regularly, at least once/month | 77/322 (24) | 1.76 | 1.03-2.98 | 0.037 |
Exercise in leisure timep, dichotomised | Â | Â | Â | |
Vigorous or regular exercise several times a week including heavy | Â | Â | Â | |
gardening or housework, n (%) | 108 (34) | 1 | Â | |
Walking, cycling or light exercise some hours a week or no exercise at | Â | Â | Â | |
all, n (%) | 212 (66) | 1.27 | 0.78-2.06 | 0.340 |